Value-at-Risk Theory and Practice

The first advanced book on value-at-risk

Chapter 2, Page 83
Exercise 14

Use ordinary least squares to fit a linear polynomial

[2.110]

to the five points indicated in Exhibit 2.13.

k
1 1 13
2 2 10
3 3 11
4 4 8
5 5 6

Exhibit 2.13 Point set for Exercise 2.14.

Solution

Let

[s1]

We have:

[s2]

and:

[s3]

Applying [2.103], we obtain:

[s4]

and our linear polynomial is:

[s5]

This and the five points are graphed below.

 

 

website: http://www.contingencyanalysis.com
value-at-risk direct link: http://www.value-at-risk.net
copyright © Contingency Analysis, 2003